"Nintendo Switch 2 Sales Forecasted for 2025 by Analyst"

Summary

• An analyst predicts that the Switch 2 will sell 4.3 million units in the US in 2025, assuming it launches within the first half of the year.
• The analyst believes the Switch 2 will perform well, but the PS5 may lead in US console sales.
• High anticipation surrounds the Switch 2, yet its success hinges on launch timing, hardware quality, and a competitive game lineup.

Gaming analyst Mat Piscatella forecasts that the Nintendo Switch 2 will achieve sales of approximately 4.3 million units in the US during 2025, provided it launches in the first half of the year. This prediction is notable when compared to the original Nintendo Switch, which sold 4.8 million units by the end of 2017, exceeding initial expectations. To meet the high demand, Nintendo had to airlift Switch units, and fans are hopeful that the company has better prepared for the Switch 2's launch.

Anticipation for the announcement of Nintendo's next console, the Switch 2, is palpable across social media. However, translating this buzz into sales will depend on several factors, including the timing of the launch and the quality and appeal of the console's hardware and game lineup.

Circana's video game analyst, Mat Piscatella, expects the Nintendo Switch 2 to sell 4.3 million units in the US in 2025, assuming a first-half launch. Many speculate that the Switch 2 could hit the market by April 2025, ahead of summer, which could boost sales during Japan's Golden Week and other global festivities.

Analyst Predicts 4.3M Switch 2 Sales in 2025

"Seeing as how an announcement appears to be coming soon (but who knows) - I have Nintendo's next hardware device selling 4.3 million units in the US in 2025 (assuming 1H launch), accounting for approximately 1/3rd of all video game console hardware units sold in the year (excluding PC Portables)." — Mat Piscatella (@matpiscatella.bsky.social) 2025-01-08T16:09:43.754Z

Piscatella elaborates that in the US, the Switch 2 is expected to constitute one-third of all video game hardware sales, excluding portable PC devices like the Steam Deck or ROG Ally. He anticipates potential supply constraints due to high initial demand, though it's unclear how much manufacturing capacity Nintendo has reserved for the Switch 2. There's speculation that Nintendo might have stockpiled resources to avoid the shortages experienced with the original Switch and PS5.

While Piscatella is optimistic about the Switch 2's sales, he predicts that the PlayStation 5 will maintain the top spot in US console sales. The excitement around the Switch 2 could boost its sales, but the PS5 is set to benefit from anticipated titles like Grand Theft Auto 6, expected in 2025, which might not be available on Nintendo's platform. The Switch 2's success will largely depend on the impressiveness of its hardware and the strength of its launch lineup.